5 May 2015

End-Of-Season Games

These end-of-season games can be categorised into three groups :

1) Matches between two teams with nothing to fight for.
2) Matches between two teams with something to fight for.
3) Matches between two teams where one team has something to fight for and one team has nothing to fight for.

Matches Between Two Teams With Nothing To Fight For:
Since the commitment of both teams is questionable, it is better not consider such type of matches.
However, do take note of teams aiming to achieve some honours, for example :

  • top goal scorer.
  • breaking club's record on number of league points earned.
  • preserving unbeaten record.


Matches Between Two Teams With Something To Fight For:
This should be assessed thoroughly to seek out opportunity and value. Do be mindful that in some circumstances, a draw would satisfy the objectives of both teams.

Matches Between Two Teams Where One Team Has Something:
To Fight For And One Team Has Nothing To Fight For This throws up the best betting opportunities where there's always the potential for 'the switch-off'. This is not to imply anything improper will take place. It's just that the 'switched-off' team may not be so focused :

  • Some players could already be looking forward to their holidays and are just going through the motions waiting for the season to wind up. 
  • The team may ease off in their training session.
  • Key players may be rested to allow substitutes to have chances to play.

So how should we capitalise on the betting opportunities?
It all boils down to odds. Unfortunately, the bookmakers would have factored in this 'nothing to play for' syndrome in their pricing. However, there are still odds of value to be found if we look hard enough. The one golden rule is "be very certain you know your team is really switched on".

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